I haven't been real active on the StockArena boards as of late,
due to no investment in gaming companies, but I think Gamestop is
looking interesting here. So, I tried to login in to
stockarena and the page no longer exists. I looked around on
yahoo boards, but no luck (Speculawyer is still on the TTWO boards,
WOW). A few minutes googling usernames I could
remember and Jester showed up here, so a quick look and a few
of you appear to have followed - Jon, Jamok, LT, and apparently Rod
is the site founder. Hopefully Buk, Ben & Nsthil
will follow. You guys collectively (and individually) hold a
pretty good grasp of the video game market.
So my questions is what are everyone's thoughts on GME? I
owned it a few years ago and sold it at the then peak around 25,
from which it subsequently cratered to 15 or so, followed by a run
up into the 50's, and the decline to around 38 now. I kind of
wrote it off at the time I sold as a business that would be in slow
decline as game consoles move toward full downloads, but it seems
this transition is taking considerably longer than I
anticipated.
It looks interesting to me - 10x earnings, 3.8% dividend
yield, very strong free cash flows coupled with stock
buybacks. They have figured out a way to at least get a piece
of the download pie through pre-paid cards and the like. Full
download seems to be fairly slow taking off(aside from hardware
bundles), presumably due to the "equity" of trade-in value of a
disc based game. Additionally they have potential new avenues
for growth with the SimplyMac stores and the partnership(s) with
AT&T stores & Cricket wireless. I am still making my
way through getting reacquainted with the company, but I figured I
would run it by one of the smartest groups of video game investors
that I know, to see if I am missing anything material. What's
the bear case?