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Re: today - beginning of bear
market or...
I have been very cautious over the past 2 months. When I
get the feeling that even a monkey can beat the S&P index, I
begin to worry. I am very close to retirement, a 13 months at
most. So I started to lighten up.
That said, while the Treasury yield has been on a rapid rise and
the market frets when yields rocket higher, I feel that with so
many people under-employed, it will be tough to get the economy to
overheat on a long term persistent basis. Yes, people will go crazy
on trips, shopping etc.. but it will be a surge that will not be
able to persist for more than a year or two. The rest of the
population will be strapped for cash. A lot of pain
lingers.
So back to the market, my take is that the yield rise will taper
off and the market will settle down
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