NBA Lockout May Prove
Damaging to Take Two Interactive Bottom Line
While Take Two Interactive Inc. CEO Strauss Zelnick reiterated
on his company’s last conference call that the implications
of an NBA lockout were unknown and would not affect company
guidance for their related NBA title, NBA 2K12 has quietly hit the
market this week. The only problem is it has
been a little too quiet with sales appearing to be less robust than
last year, when Take Two made a splash by having NBA legend Michael
Jordon appear on the game’s cover for the first
time. Now, Michael Jordon is making his second
appearance as the cover athlete. However the
title, which was listed at
#5 and #6 on the Amazon.com overall bestselling chart last
year, debuts at
#11 and #13 during the same weekly period this
year. This may be surprising for some, since the
pre-order bestselling placement of the title on Amazon.com in
September 2011 ranked similar to its September 2010 pre-order
sales. Yet, today, the title appears to be
falling fast on the Amazon chart, quickly sinking below the top
30.
Company guidance for the quarter is highly dependent on the NBA
title, as analysts expect a healthy non-GAAP profit of .34 per
share during the quarter. Last year, the company
posted a .52 profit during the period mainly from a profitable 2K
Games title called Mafia, as well as the NBA title, which was the
top selling overall title in October 2010 according to the NPD
Group. When asked about the potential impact of
an NBA lockout this year, CEO Zelnick suggested Take Two would wait
and see if the potential lockout would have any impact on game
sales. Investors may not want to wait around for
quite as long if Amazon.com reflects overall sales of the
title.
Disclosure: author holds
no position in Take Two Interactive
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