2013 brings on a new top tax rate for those whose income is
above $400,000. Ordinary income above that rate is taxed at
39.6%. However, so-called "unearned income", consisting
primarily of short-term capital gains, will include an extra 3.8%
tax from The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, otherwise
known as Obamacare. The 3.8% tax applies to "unearned income"
over $200,000. This primarily impacts high risk traders who
provide liquidity to the market, leaving them with 56.6% of short
term gains over the $400,000 threshold. In other words, short
term trading now carries risk of 100% of losses and only 56.6% of
the rewards.
Residents of California will see the highest overall income tax
rate in the United States. California's Proposition 30, which
passed with 55% of the California popular vote in November
2012, increased state income tax rates for high income
earners. The highest rate is 13.3% for million plus income
earners. Adjusting for the federal income tax deduction
for state taxes, that would mean a top tax rate of 50.9% on total
short term capital gain income of over one million dollars.
For California residents, short term trading now carries risk of
100% of losses and only 49.1% of the rewards.
Speculative short term positions are defined by the Internal
Revenue Service as those that are held under one year. These
new taxes may likely reduce investor appetite for investing in
smaller and higher risk assets and may especially impact
overall liquidity going into 2013. This may cause alarm for
investors in NYSE Euronext and NASDAQ OMX Group, who may see a
decline in liquid trading of smaller capitalization stocks and thus
less interest in initial public offerings from smaller
companies.
Bottom line: the real top tax rates of 43.4% and 50.9% are
higher than the 39.6% number that is often being used to describe
the new top tax rate.