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Rap Sheet

Author:

Mahyar Hashemi

Subject:

Analysis

Date:

02/17/09 at 12:05 AM CST

 

 

READ: 303

RPLY: 0

1

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RECS:0

Sentiment:

Strong Sell

Will K-Swiss Pull a Sketchers on Earnings Day?

K-Swiss Inc. will soon report earnings for the holiday quarter.  The last time management reported, it was November 5th, 2008.  The stock was trading at around $14.  Sketchers USA, Inc., a competitor, was trading at $12.

Today, the stock trades at around $10.50 , a 25% drop while the S&P has dropped about 15%.  Based on recent trading, expectations are not high.  But there is good reason for that.  Sketchers USA, Inc. warned on February 5th and saw its stock drop toward the low $7 range, where it rests today, a 30% plus drop in one day.

With about 60% of K-Swiss sales being international and mostly in Europe, foreign exchange trading rates have not been favorable to the company.  Further, the company nor its executives have been willing to buy the company stock, despite the company having about $6 cash on hand.  Also, trends have not been favorable for K-Swiss.  In their November report, they noted domestic sales were down 32% for the year and 29% in the third quarter.  Total sales were down 15% for the year and 27% in the third quarter, suggesting a recent acceleration to the downside.

There is some hope, however.  International sales are up 3% for the year and 7% in the third quarter, mostly due to the acquisition of French shoe maker Palladium SAS in July.  Without the acquisition, international sales were down in the third quarter by 11%.

With bad trends but over $6 on the balance sheet, K-Swiss is in a special position to acquire their way into increasing shareholder value.  But with no acquisitions since that July buyout, it will be time to see how this company is holding up in increasingly tough times.  Taking out the cash, investors are giving the company only an approximately 150 million dollar value as it touches a six year low.  It remains to be seen whether or not that is too high or too low for traders eager to see the earnings report of this lightly traded stock.

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