Only in unprecedented times like these will you ever see
the following situation. Merrill Lynch Trust Preferred stock
(stock symbols MER-D, MER-E, MER-F, MER-K, MER-P, MER-U) closed on
Friday with an average yield of over 26%, while the virtually
identical and better known Bank of America Trust Preferred stock
(stock symbols BAC-B, BAC-C, BAC-U, BAC-V, BAC-Y, BAC-Z) closed
with at an average yield of around 17%. That's a difference
of over 50%!
I bet you didn't even know that Merrill Lynch still had
stock. Apparently, the market is not aware of it
either. Bank of America, whose assets and operations are just
about inseparable with Merrill Lynch by now, has yet to fully
assume the preferred shares or any of Merrill Lynch's debt.
In Bank of America's acquisition of Countrywide, BofA also waited
months after the deal closed before formally assuming all of the
debt.
Aside from Bank of America altogether failing, which
would eliminate any value in all of the associated preferred and
common stock, there does not seem to be any precedent for it to
even be possible that somehow Merrill Lynch Trust Preferred stock
could go down in flames while Bank Of America Preferred Stock
survives. That would mean Merrill Lynch, whose business is
already intertwined with Bank of America, would have to somehow go
bankrupt as a separate unit, while Bank of America survives.
Aside from that nonsensical scenario, the preferred shares
have the exact same capital structure and everything but the names
are completely identical.
And yet, take a look at these examples: BAC-U trades at a
yield of 15.58% while BAC-C trades at a yield of 19.88%. It's
the exact stock with dramatically different yields! But then,
it gets really crazy when compared to Merrill Preferred
stock (which, again, are nearly identical). MER-C closed
with a yield of 26.79%. Compare that again to BAC-U at
15.58%. It's an astronomical difference in terms of
yields. Among each other, the Merrill yields also vary wildy
for no reason.
This would never occur in an efficient market, but again,
we are in unprecedented times where somehow, something like this is
being unnoticed. What is even more amazing is that this has
actually happened before. When Bear Stearns merged with JP
Morgan, there was a period where the yields did not match at
all. It happened again with Wachovia and Wells Fargo.
Today, they all have nearly identical yields.
While it's impossible to know what ends up happening with
Bank of America, one thing seems fairly certain: This
discrepancy will not continue forever. These trusts are all
cumulative and even senior to the government's investment.
The main risk to them is the risk of BAC as a whole -
nationalization or overall bankrupcy. That aside, there is no
logical explanation for the yield discrepancy outside of a
still, terribly inefficient market.