S&P;is also positive on
NOK-ALU merger
Press Release: S&P Upgrades Nokia To
'BB '; Outlook Positive Font size:
A | A | A 10:28
AM ET 4/17/15 | Dow Jones
The following is a press release from Standard & Poor's:
-- Finland-Based technology company Nokia reported better results
than we
expected in 2014 and is likely to continue to do so in 2015.
-- We view Nokia's proposed merger with French-American
telecommunications equipment supplier Alcatel-Lucent overall as
potentially
credit-positive in the medium term.
-- We are therefore raising our long-term corporate credit rating
on
Nokia to 'BB+' from 'BB'.
-- The positive outlook reflects the potential for a one-notch
upgrade if
the combined entity is able to demonstrate revenue growth about in
line with
the industry, Standard & Poor's-adjusted EBITDA margins of
about 10%, as well
as sustainable positive discretionary cash flow.
FRANKFURT (Standard & Poor's) April 17, 2015--Standard &
Poor's Ratings
Services today raised its long-term corporate credit rating on
Finnish
technology company Nokia Corp. to 'BB+' from 'BB'. The outlook is
positive.
We also affirmed the 'B' short-term rating on Nokia.
At the same time, we raised our issue rating on Nokia's senior
unsecured notes
to 'BB+' from 'BB'. The recovery rating is '3', indicating our
expectation of
meaningful recovery (in the lower half of the 50%-70% range) in the
event of a
payment default.
The upgrade primarily reflects Nokia's solid operating results and
free cash
flow generation in 2014 and resilient prospects for 2015, which are
better
than we expected in our previous base case. As a result, we have
raised our
business risk assessment to "fair" from "weak" and will deduct
surplus cash
from Nokia's Standard & Poor's-adjusted gross debt obligations
going forward.
In addition, we expect the company will continue to follow a
conservative
financial policy, including the maintenance of a strong net cash
position. At
year-end 2014, Nokia reported gross cash and short-term investments
of EUR7.7
billion and a net cash position of EUR5.0 billion.
Furthermore, despite being margin-dilutive and creating meaningful
integration
challenges in the near term, we view the proposed merger with
French-American
telecommunications equipment supplier Alcatel-Lucent overall as
potentially
credit-positive in the medium term. This is because the transaction
is
structured as an all-share transaction. In addition, in the fourth
quarter of
2015, Nokia intends to use the soft call option for its EUR750
million
convertible bond due 2017, and we expect all of Alcatel-Lucent's
outstanding
convertible bonds to be converted into equity and exchanged with
newly issued
ordinary shares of Nokia.
In our view, the combined entity will have a more diversified
business
portfolio and will be one of the market leaders in wireless,
fixed-line
access, internet protocol (IP) routing and fiber optics
transmission, and core
network technologies. In addition, the enlarged group's
profitability should
benefit from sizable cost synergies over the next few years,
particularly for
research and development (R&D) expenses in wireless
operations.
The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2016.
Post the
closing, Alcatel-Lucent shareholders will own about 33.5% of the
combined
group.
The positive outlook reflects the potential for a one-notch upgrade
in about
12-18 months if Nokia successfully executes the proposed merger
with
Alcatel-Lucent, is likely to achieve the targeted cost synergies,
and
maintains a very conservative balance sheet.
We could raise the rating if the combined entity is able to
demonstrate
revenue growth about in line with the industry, Standard &
Poor's-adjusted
EBITDA margins of about 10%, as well as sustained positive
discretionary cash
flow. In addition, an upgrade would be supported by a Standard
&
Poor's-adjusted debt-to-EBITDA ratio of below 1x and FFO to debt
above 65%.
We could revise the outlook to stable if the combined entity is
likely to
report Standard & Poor's-adjusted EBITDA margins sustainably
below 10% due to
strong competitive price pressure, market share losses, or higher
than
expected restructuring costs. In addition, significant negative
discretionary
cash flow generation or a meaningful deterioration of the group's
net
financial cash position could lead us to revise the outlook to
stable.
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