Market sure is juiced up:
Yahoo misses on both top and bottom lines, but the
....
... stock has barely budged. If
these were normal times, Yahoo would be down 15% in AH.
|
|
True, YHOO disappointed, and no growth is forecast through Dec
2016, but the forward P/E is only 50 which is practically value
territory. So says Janet "St0ckp1cker G1rl" Yellen anyway.
|
Author:
|
Jester
Debunker
|
Subject:
|
Off Topic
|
Sentiment:
|
Neutral
|
Date:
|
04/21/15 at 3:52 PM CDT
|
|
What are your expectations regarding EA's star wars release
later this year? EA has not grown revenues in any signifiacnt
way during the past three years, yet they have revived profits, is
that franchise going get revenue growing again? If it is,
then I am afraid the market "may" give EA a pass just like it is
doing with YHOO.
|
Author:
|
LongTerm
CapGains
|
Subject:
|
Off Topic
|
Sentiment:
|
Neutral
|
Date:
|
04/21/15 at 4:16 PM CDT
|
|
Star Wars Battlefront.
SWB1 released in 2004, no sku was in the top 10 for the year.
SWB2 released in 2005, and the PS2 sku was #6 for the year, and no
sku was in the top 10 for 2006. VGChartz has SWB1 at 5.36M
lifetime, and SWB2 at 5.26M. Those include discounted sales of
course. There's a lot of fan appreciation for the games too, which
means hype from both casuals and hardcore for the upcoming
game.
The movie will be huge, the hype will be huge. It should crush
last years big holiday release Dragon Age Inquisition, although at
lower margins. Before people get too carried away though:
a) No SP campaign. It has some kind of offline SP activity,
probably kill some bots in this MP map, or challenges of some kind,
but no story campaign. This will turn off some potential
buyers.
forbes.com/si...paign/
b) There is already concern being voiced at potential value for
money. The planet count is only 4, there are no space battles, no
SP campaign, and DICE also admitted less destruction than in their
Battlefield series.
c) No last gen skus, which is probably wise, but it will still
shut out some potential buyers, especially at the more casual end
of the spectrum.
d) Previous MP focused games have all disappointed: Brink,
Titanfall, Evolve, all were criticized for value for money and saw
sales fail to meet expectations.
I agree Human, there's definitely potential for hype to run
amok. Analysts can start setting targets at whatever high number
they want, and start raising FY ests from current $2.64 (even
though everyone knew it would be holiday 2015, and that's before we
learned no SP campaign), then apologize later for the froth if
necessary. I think 6M-8M shipped in the FY is likely.
|
Author:
|
Jester
Debunker
|
Subject:
|
Off Topic
|
Sentiment:
|
Neutral
|
Date:
|
04/21/15 at 5:07 PM CDT
|
|
As a point of reference on how juiced up this market is, Yahoo
was at $15.84 on October 15th 2012, now it sits at $44.49, a mere
tripple. True, the Alibaba stake gave Yahoo a ton of
cash (Yahoo finance states that it is sitting on $8B in cash and
cash equivalents). This, for a company that is actually
shrinking!!!
|
Author:
|
LongTerm
CapGains
|
Subject:
|
Off Topic
|
Sentiment:
|
Neutral
|
Date:
|
04/21/15 at 4:24 PM CDT
|
|
A correction: Yahoo's stake in Alibaba is $28B, and $4B in Yahoo
Japan, it seems more like a hedgefund than a company.
|
Author:
|
LongTerm
CapGains
|
Subject:
|
Off Topic
|
Sentiment:
|
Neutral
|
Date:
|
04/22/15 at 7:02 AM CDT
|
|
AMZN at 52-week high on no earnings, $392. They report no
earnings and continued equal parts disappointment and future hype
tonight. I see the analysts up to their usual tricks with it too.
On Yahoo Finance they show current year Dec 15 ests at $0.38 (down
from $5+ a couple of years ago I'm sure), and next years at $2.28.
What's the betting that gets revised down a couple of dollars over
the next few quarters?
|
Author:
|
Jester
Debunker
|
Subject:
|
Off Topic
|
Sentiment:
|
Neutral
|
Date:
|
04/22/15 at 8:33 AM CDT
|
|