I watched the Heroes of the Dorm on ESPN2. Was shocked to see
it, but would not be surprised to see it continue. Also, because
the article mentions it, I think Amazon owning Twitch is huge.
Twitch is going to explode (as if it already hasn't).
from
finance.yahoo.com/ne...2.html
A Look At Activision's New eSports Revenue Play
By Nicholas Donato 18 hours ago
"League of Legends" and the "Defense of the Ancients" games have
long-dominated the Multiplayer Online Battle Arena (MOBA) genre of
electronic sports. These games combined for just over $1 billion
from January to September 2014, according to SuperData Research via
Venture Beat.
These games have been key players in the history of eSports, but
there have been issues with learning curves and toxic communities
preventing widespread popularity among casual gamers.
Enter Activision Blizzard, Inc. (NASDAQ:
ATVI), which came
up with its self-proclaimed "Brawler" to separate itself from other
MOBAs. While criticized for some of its dynamic changes compared to
traditional MOBAs, Activision Blizzard looks to simplify the game
for the more casual gamers. Blizzard, a subsidiary of Activision
Blizzard, will release "Heroes of the Storm" on June 2.
Mixed Success?
Speaking to Benzinga, Sterne Agee CRT analyst Arvind Bhatia said
he believes "Heroes of the Storm" success will fall somewhere
between "League of Legends" and the
failed Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: EA) MOBA "Dawnsgate." Bhatia
said the title, "will gain slow, small market to start through six
months and attracting a bigger audience over a year from
launch."
With recent
social media attention from "Heroes of the Dorm" championship
on ESPN2, Bhatia believes this could be an "interesting partnership
[and] trend for ESPN."
Related Link:
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ESPN Vs. Twitch
Cowen Securities analyst Doug Creutz agreed that ESPN coverage
could occasionally cover major eSports events. He said the main
benefactor from "Heroes of the Storm" eSports coverage would be
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN)'s recently-acquired
Twitch.tv.
Michael Pachter of Wedbush Securities culminated the modestly
optimistic view of the upcoming "Heroes" release stating, "it
stands to reason that the game will achieve some level of
success."
All of the analysts agreed that this title from Blizzard could
be an important eSports revenue generator. Creutz said he, "would
be very surprised if 'Heroes of the Storm' isn't a multi-hundred
million dollar revenue a year game."
Pachter echoed Creutz stance and added, "I estimate that
'League' is generating around $1 billion annually, so it isn't a
stretch to expect 'Heroes' to get to a $200 million annual run-rate
by year end. That means 'Heroes' will do around $60-100 million
this year."
Bhatia also had positive sentiment for the Blizzard title,
stating "Heroes" is a "long-term play, and will be quite
successful."
As the June 2 launch approaches, time will tell if Blizzard's
investment into "Heroes of the Storm" will truly innovate the MOBA
genre and eSports sector.
Ratings
Bhatia has a $27 price target and a Buy rating on Activision;
Creutz has a $27 price target and an Outperform rating; Pachter
holds an Outperform rating and $31 price target.