A 1.1 billion dollar loss for a company currently valued at 234
million sounds unusual to me too. Ticketmaster Entertainment,
Inc. seems to be in more trouble than its company executives
would like to admit. With its massive operating expenses
covering approximately 6,700 independent sales outlets and 19 call
centers worldwide, and now including a series of acquisitions,
Ticketmaster stock has plummeted during its short lifespan as an
independent company. This has caused a massive 1.1 billion
dollar goodwill impairment charge.
In Ticketmaster's case, this could be significant because they
are now 865 million dollars in debt with a cash position in
decline. Creditors would have looked at the goodwill on the
balance sheet as a positive excuse to lend to the company.
Now, they will see their total asset line cut by almost 40%.
Ticketmaster's CFO, Brian Regan stated that they are "well within"
their debt covenants, which are based on EBITDA earnings and
cash. The impairment charge almost guarantees they will hit a
brick wall when it comes to being lent any more money unless things
dramatically change.
Without the impairment charge, the company missed the Q4
earnings expectations of analysts by about 45%, despite the fact
that revenue was in line with expectations. The company said
this was due to their recent acquisitions, which apparently
contributed the majority of the company's adjusted operating
income.
This suggests that without the acquisitions of TicketsNow,
Paciolon, SLO and Front Line, Ticketmaster may not have been "well
within" their debt covenants at all. In other words, economic
conditions likely forced Ticketmaster to make the acquisitions or
else default on their loans.
Further concern was raised by an analyst on today's conference
call about whether or not Ticketmaster would see consistent
earnings from the newly acquired companies. However, CEO
Irving Azoff admitted to some of the acquisitions being "cyclical"
businesses.
Last month, Ticketmaster announced "a merger of equals" with
Live Nation, a company which they were partners with prior to
2009. Shortly after their long term partnership ended, each
company apparently found that business model to be unsustainable
since they promptly announced a merger. Live Nation
subsequently posted a loss for the previous quarter and full
year.
The proposed merger has been met with resistance by members of
Congress and will need to get by the Democratic administration's
Department of Justice, suggesting another possible costly and time
consuming XM/Sirius fiasco.
Overall, this merger appears to be very necessary for the
company and its stock to move forward. Ticketmaster is now
about $16 per share in debt with $8.60 cash remaining on the
balance sheet, leaving a value of negative $7.40 (outside of other
tangible assets and liabilities). The company provided no
guidance suggesting they will not meet pre-earnings report analyst
expectations of .97 for the year. If we apply the 45% miss of
this quarter's expectation to next year's analyst outlook, the
company would be looking at approximately .44 earnings per
share. If we give it a generous factor of 20 times earnings
and deduct the debt, we are still left with only $1.40 of
value. This would still assume that the new acquisitions
continue to perform well and the company will not be drained by
expenses relating to the proposed merger.
Needless to say, it is difficult to come up with a strong case
for this stock to hold its current valuation.