OT - Pretty dismal economic news: As Jester has often
repetitively correctly predicted (and maybe I'm late to the party
on this one), GDP was revised downward to -0.7 for Q2. At first,
'seasonal factors' - weather, dock strike, whatever was blamed, but
those excuses proved not to hold any water. I don't know exactly
what the original prediction was at the beginning of 2015, but I'm
sure it was healthy growth. Liz Ann Sonders (gag me with a spoon)
head of Schwab Research is her usual sunny, cheerleader self,
predicting a return to growth and citing an article of "5 reasons
there's still time in this US cycle" of stocks. And why a recession
isn't in the cards. And other made-up fluff. Although we are still
the prettiest horse at the glue factory, as Ben noted.
Found it interesting that British Petroleum came out with
expectations that $50-$60/bbl oil will last at a minimum the next 3
years, with concommitant cutting of capex and closure of existing
wells that aren't economically viable. They have little
reason to lie about this, I think. A large number of articles
citing the Saudi's being persistent in their aim of cutting
some of the 'froth' out of US frackers, and how the 'balance of
oil' comes down to them, as OPEC are all in favor of the Saudi's
cutting back, but not them. Saudis say they'll consider cutbacks if
Russia does the same, as they fear cutting production/export and
having Russia lap up their markets. Given the trust level of Russia
on several fronts, I'd say quite unlikely.
I'd compact this stuff to short links if I could just figure out
how to cut and paste.....cursed?