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Rap Sheet

Author:

LongTerm CapGains

Subject:

Off Topic

Date:

06/28/15 at 1:48 PM CDT

 

 

READ: 7

RPLY: 0

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RECS:0

Sentiment:

Neutral

There are obvious cracks in this Market ....

... whether we get the long awaited correction (last one was in the summer of 2011) remains to be seen, but these cracks are visible:

 

"The stock market’s dependence on the credit market is also noted by the perspicacious Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at the Lindsey Group. The much-commented-upon weakness in the Dow Jones Transportation Average coincides with the backup in the benchmark 10-year Treasury note’s yield, from a low of 1.64% on Jan. 30 to 2.48% on Friday, the high for the year.

“I could be grasping at straws, but the transportation index peaked on Dec. 29, the utility sector [XLU for Utilities Select Sector SPDR fund] topped a day before the 10-year yield bottomed and is at a 10-month low, and the real estate investment trust sector [ iShares US Real Estate ETF (IYR)] did so three days before that and yesterday closed at an eight-month low,” he wrote in a note to clients on Friday. “These last two sectors are an obvious response to the rise in rates, but the Industrial Sector SPDR ETF [XLI] topped on Feb. 20 and closed yesterday at near a five-month low. The Materials Sector SPDR ETF [XLB] peaked on Feb. 24 and is at a 10-week low.”

Boockvar says he doesn’t know if this is because of global growth concerns, earnings worries, or consolidation of the gains of the past few years. “What I do know is that financial conditions continue to tighten, however modestly. It started with the end of Fed QE; it continued with the stronger U.S. dollar, which was then followed by the rise in long-term interest rates, which in turn has raised the cost of corporate capital as the Moody’s Baa yield index is at the highest level in almost a year and a half.”"

 

Full article (subscription may be required):

 

online.barrons.com/ar...olumns

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