The distortions in the market are everywhere. Greece
is a zombie nation, Europe still has the drag of most if not
all of the Southern countries. China real estate appears to
be next in line for a market correction. I just read an article
that reports that listings have increased markedly since the market
rout started.
I do not know if the Chinese government can plug the leak
in that bubble, but I do know they will continue to try. I sense a
panic there, and I do not mean in the markets, I mean the
government. It will be interesting to see if they can stem
the selling tide.
I figured yesterday we would have a bounce, it may
continue for some time, but I sense this time the market will
eventually get the correction. I just cannot see it continue
to ignore all the ominous signs, they truly are all over and in
plain sight for everyone to see.
Re Greece, it is a totally broken country. One which had a
lot of expense due to its social safety net, one which was
supported by debt, not growth. It is no coincidence they are
in such bad shape, and it will get worse before it gets
better. Still an unsustainable situation. The reforms
have to address the lack of investment, lack of industry etc
…
I am still 85% out of the market in my work 401K account,
I will not put a dime back in until past the summer, probably in
November, and then I am not sure what percentage. I am still
very heavily invested in my other accounts, with ALU representing a
good percentage of the invested money there. I am confident
it is a good long term investment; I am willing to stomach the
heavy volatility.
Article that mentions real estate listings increasing in
China:
finance.yahoo.com/ne...9.html