Some thoughts:
I believe that when there is a bad quarter, the likelihood
is high that there will be more bad quarters, unless Rajeev was
smart enough to low ball both the revenue and profit guidance to
make sure NOK can easily beat. I sure hope he did. As
NOK trades, so does ALU, they are joined at the hip, so I hope
Rajeev lowered expectations enough.
Given all the positives that will come down the road, and
there are many, it would be a shame if NOK were to mismanage
expectations in the short term. The market is more likely to
give a company the benefit of the doubt if it is managing
expectations well, so long as they see some progress. An
example of badly managed expectations is IBM, for the past 13
quarters in a row, IBM has managed to shrink revenues. And
apparently Rometti (CEO) has not been able get revenue projections
correctly; she is not making friends in Wall
Street.
NOK is too dependent on its Wireless segment and
apparently it is not competing well. ALU may not bring the
financial strength, but it is clear why NOK needs it.
I knew from the onset of my investment in ALU that it
would be a long haul, hence my stated horizon of 3 to 4 years.
I am still holding on to that time frame. I am short
term cautious but remain long term positive, very
positive
All that said, I think the rebel shareholders continue to
gain strength in their complaint that NOK is not paying enough for
ALU, it does remain to be seen (one way or the other) if there
complaint will be heard and more importantly be resolved in a new
seetened bif dor ALU