Zenith National Insurance stock was halted in the middle of the
trading day today, when they reported earnings that missed even the
lowest of all eight sell side analyst estimates who follow the
company.
In unusual form, Zenith reports their earnings in the middle of
the day. The company, which does the majority of its workers'
compensation insurance business in California, reported an earnings
loss of .04, before accounting for realized gains on
investments. Analysts were looking for a gain of .46.
Zenith had earlier warned of severance costs related to its
headcount reduction of 100 employees in February and said it would
have an effect on their earnings, but that only accounted for .09
of the earnings miss.
The company has seen its insurance premiums fall dramatically
mainly due to job losses in California, reducing the need for
workers' compensation insurance. On top of that, there is
uncertainty on whether or not premium pricings will increase in
California, as they have in Florida, despite the economic
downturn.
Investors are worried that lower revenue from premiums may spell
lower growth as the company relies more heavily on interest
investment income and gains on investments. In in the first
quarter of 2008, investments represented 15% of overall revenue,
while today they represent over 20%. Without the benefit of
investment income and gains in the first quarter of 2008, the
company earned 14.2 million. Today they are losing 27.9
million as the workers' compensation segment goes from a gain to a
loss, and the company looks for a way to get back toward
profitability in their most important segment.
Investors have not necessarily hammered the stock after the
news, considering the earnings miss, as the stock currently trades
at around down 5% from the previous closing price. Zenith's
balance sheet and consistent investment income and credit rating
still makes it a potentially attractive offering for those who are
willing to look forward to better times ahead in the insured job
sector.