EA and ATVI
EA and ATVI are at important points. Both are fairly valued for
the upcoming FY imo, both around 22x forward P/E. EA looks like
it's trying to break out to new highs above $77. The technicals are
positive. It's above the 50ma and the 200ma is turning up. If it
fails, $68-$72 looks like big support, but if it succeeds, who
knows. With sector and company news flow about to be positive in
the next two weeks it may well succeed in breaking out. ATVI on the
other hand didn't show such a big push at its high of $40 and has
slipped some to low $38's. I think we'll see it back to $40 by E3
especially if EA breaks higher.
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Jester,
Thanks for the pre-E3 technicals. It would feel a bit goosey
buying EA (or ATVI) around 77, given that I judged fair value at 75
and sold the shares I bought based on your analysis prior to EA's
CC. I read the schedule for E3 is June 14-16, but press conferences
for EA, UBI, and MSFT will be held June 12th. I would guess that
this show and tell event is skewed heavily towards good news for
the stocks, as they put their best foot forward. Although critics
and analysts I'm sure will be watching and commenting on things
like a trailer looking like crap, or the absence of the same when
it was expected. And I'm sure VR will be top buzzed and hyped. I
imagine that someday VR devices will be as slim and light as
putting on a pair of RayBans. Google glass II ?
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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06/02/16 at 1:45 PM CDT
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EA couldn't quite break out to new highs. It managed it on the
intra-day last week, then closed lower and not at a new high. Since
then, it's been weak. Consequently, no follow through with ATVI.
There may still be positive news and coverage to come from E3 this
week, but I'm not as bullish on ATVI as I was when EA looked
possible to break higher, especially with the market showing
weakness after also failing to break higher for the millionth time.
Getting back to $40 in the short term looks less likely now than
last week imo.
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Author:
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Jester
Debunker
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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06/13/16 at 11:33 AM CDT
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Jester,
I understand what you said, I think. So it's a bit strange but
not overly so, to see EA announce what sounds like solid/exciting
titles, and losing $1 to be at ~$74.25. That's a price I probaby
would've jumped at a couple of weeks ago. I'm wondering if, even if
the charts looks sloppy to you, you've got a downside 'target' at
which point, TA be damned, it's a compelling value to buy. (Yes, I
remember when it was in either the high 50's or low 60's not so
very long ago - so from that perspective, all $70's may look
'pricey.' Wondering if they 'shot their wad' with the announcement
of new titles or there's more newsworthy info to be released (I'd
expect so - I *think* this titles announcement is prior to E3
really kickiing off, but I've not been paying that close
attention.
And thanks to lt cap for the NOK news on China Mobile. That
seems to be the necessary step in China - make a joint/venture
agreement, and the government won't harrass you. I think most
countries call that a 'bribe', but I may be wrong.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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06/13/16 at 1:38 PM CDT
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I was underwhelmed by EA's E3 announcements, but i do not play
any of those games. FIFA and Madden will be what they are, curious
as to whether Titanfall and battlefield can be big enough to move
the needle that has been moving already. I would like to hear
thoughts from folks who play these games.
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Author:
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breinejm
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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06/14/16 at 9:07 AM CDT
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