In January 2007, some 15 months after CNBC’s Jim Cramer
announced that the FDA had rejected Provenge (even though the
agency had not yet reviewed Provenge), the FDA assigned
“priority review status” to Dendreon’s
application to have the drug approved. Such status is typically
granted to drugs whose trials suggest that they can significantly
improve the safety or effectiveness of treating a serious or
life-threatening disease. Some weeks after receiving
“priority review status,” Dendreon announced that an
FDA advisory panel would meet on March 29 to vote on whether its
treatment for prostate cancer should be approved.
FDA advisory panels are made up of doctors and scientists who
are employed on a one-time basis to review a new drug. Their
decisions are not binding, but in 97 percent of all cases, the FDA
follows the advisory panel’s recommendations. Given that
Dendreon’s data results had been strong enough to cause the
FDA to fast-track things by granting “priority review
status,” it was widely expected that the advisory panel would
vote in favor of Provenge, and that the drug would get FDA approval
soon after. This was very good news.
Normally, this would be a time for short sellers to close out
their trades. Companies receiving priority status (moving them down
the road to FDA approval) generally see their stocks soar in value,
and typically the prices stay at peak levels, at least until the
companies present plans for how they are going to bring their drugs
to market.
But in the middle of that March, there was a strange occurrence:
short selling in Dendreon began to increase at an
unprecedented rate. Illegal naked short selling increased as
well.
SEC data shows that on March 16, 2007, over 1 million Dendreon
shares “failed to deliver” – because they were
sold short by people who did not possess any shares. That is, these
naked short sellers took investors’ money but
delivered…nothing.
The numbers rose steadily, so by March 28, the day before the
advisory panel vote, more than 9 million phantom shares were
circulating in the market. And consider that the SEC data might
understate “failures to deliver” by factors of ten
or more. So by that point the market may actually have been flooded
with about 90 million phantom shares – in a company that had
only 100 million shares outstanding.
On the night of March 28, 2007, Cramer commented on Dendreon
again. He did not mention the phantom stock (in May, 2008, he
began a “crusade” against naked short selling, but he
started this “crusade” just one day after he was
exposed by Deep Capture as a central player in a media
cover-up of the naked short selling scandal). Instead, Cramer
offered the long-shot prediction that the FDA advisory panel would
not approve Provenge. He advised Dendreon’s shareholders to
“SELL, SELL, SELL!!!”
This was the “battleground.” And Dendreon was under
attack.
* * * * * * * *
The next day—March 29, 2007–the FDA’s advisory
panel decided overwhelmingly in Dendreon’s favor. Every one
of the 17 scientists and doctors on the panel voted that Provenge
was safe, and 13 of the 17 panelists voted that there was
substantial evidence that the treatment effectively lengthened the
lives of prostate cancer patients.
As you will recall, the FDA had followed the recommendations of
advisory panels in 97 percent of all cases. So at this point it
seemed extremely likely that Provenge was on the fast track to
approval. Most experts expected that Dendreon could begin
delivering its treatment to prostate cancer patients within six
months. The company’s stock price, which the short sellers
had depressed to $4 before the panel vote, now soared.
By April 13, Dendreon was worth around $20 a share.
But the short sellers did not relent. The more the stock rose in
value, the more they piled on, flooding the market with still more
phantom stock. On the day after the advisory panel meeting, at
least 9 million phantom shares were sold, according to the
SEC’s unforgivably incomplete data. During the following two
weeks, between 9 and 10 million shares were “failing to
deliver” on any given day. And on one day, April 13, overall
short interest in Dendreon rose to 32 million shares – from
just 8 million shares a few hours before.
By any reckoning, this was sheer insanity. Given
Dendreon’s prospects for FDA approval, it seemed like the
short sellers were flushing money down the toilet. Some observers
racked it up to psychology – the short sellers had grown
emotionally tied to their positions, and simply could not give them
up.
But I offer several other possible hypotheses, which are all
mutually compatible. The first is that the short sellers believed
that they could generate enough phantom shares to drive the stock
price back down, despite Dendreon’s fantastic news. The
second is that the short sellers were aware that there was about to
be released a wave of lopsided negative financial research and
media reports (including more from Cramer) that they expected would
crack the stock.
And the third explanation is that the short sellers who made
this long-shot bet perhaps knew something that the rest of the
world did not. They perhaps knew that some strange occurrences were
imminent, and that these strange occurrences would diminish
Dendreon’s prospects. And given the especially sharp increase
in short selling on the morning of April 13, they might have
expected that the strange occurrences would begin on that
particular day.
Alas, something strange would indeed occur later on April 13,
2007. And after that, there was another strange occurrence –
then still more strange occurrences, one after the other until it
seemed that Dendreon and its treatment for prostate cancer would no
longer exist.
I will describe these strange occurrences, but first we must
understand a bit more about a network of smooth market operators
and a “prominent philanthropist” named Michael
Milken.
* * * * * * * *
As mentioned, we do not know who was responsible for the illegal
naked short selling of Dendreon. The SEC keeps that a secret.
But while the SEC is of no help, most any Wall Street broker can
describe several “proprietary” strategies that are
popular with unscrupulous hedge funds.
One such strategy is known as a “married put.”
Normally, a hedge fund buys from a market maker a certain number of
put options—the right to sell a stock at a specified price at
a specified date. If on that date the stock has lost value to the
point it is below that specified price, the buyer of the put option
(the hedge fund) makes money, and the seller (the market maker)
loses money. To hedge the risk that he might lose money, the market
maker, at the same moment that he sells the put option, also
short sells the stock. This is perfectly legal.
But some market markers conspire with hedge funds to drive the
stock price down. Instead of merely shorting the shares into the
market, the market maker naked short sells the shares, and,
importantly, sells those phantom shares to the same hedge fund that
bought the puts. As a result, the hedge fund manager winds up with
the puts and a matching number of shares (actually phantom shares
that are never delivered to him, but about which he never
complains, or forces delivery, as that would create upward pressure
on the stock, the precise opposite of what he wants). Because
the puts and the phantom shares are equal in number and arrive
together at the hedge fund, they are known as “married
puts”.
Once in possession of the phantom shares, the hedge fund manager
proceeds to fire them into the marketplace. But he is able to say
that he never naked shorted because all he has done is sold the
shares that he bought (wink wink) from the market maker.
Either way, the effect is to flood the marketplace with phantom
stock. The hedge fund makes money. And the market maker is rewarded
with more business selling married puts.
Incidentally, the fee charged for such puts do not follow any
normal option model pricing (in fact, the exchanges search for
married puts by looking for options that are mispriced in relation
to Black-Scholes, the standard formula that prices options). That
is because their pricing is not really a function of any math or
statistics, but is a function of the willingness of the hedge fund
to pay the option market maker to help him break the rules against
naked short selling. And that willingness is a function of how
difficult it is for the hedge fund to use other loopholes to break
those rules.
In the slang of Wall Street, these married puts are known as
“bullets.” Through their maneuverings, the option
market maker and hedge fund manager synthesize a naked short
position that puts “bullets” into the hands of the
hedge fund. The hedge fund fires those “bullets” at the
stock to make it collapse, timing the last “bullet” to
fire as the hedge fund’s put option expires profitably. If
the option position nears expiration and looks like it will expire
at a loss (“out of the money”), the hedge fund manager
goes back to the option market maker, and together they reload by
synthesizing more “bullets.”
Until recently, this behavior flourished owing to the
“Madoff Exemption” – a rule that the SEC named
after a “prominent” market maker and investor named
Bernard Madoff. Mr. Madoff had considerable influence at the SEC,
and helped
the commission write the rule that carried his name. This was
before Mr. Madoff became famous for orchestrating a $50 billion
Ponzi scheme with help from the Mafia (CNBC’s Charles
Gasparino has reported that
Madoff might be tied to the Russian Mafia; whistleblower Harry
Markopolis stated in Congressional
hearings that Madoff appeared to have ties to the Russian Mafia
and Latin American drug gangs; and Deep Capture’s own
investigations suggest that Madoff did business with multiple
people with ties to both Russian and Italian organized crime).
The “Madoff Exemption” permitted market makers (e.g.
Madoff) to sell stock that they did not possess, so long as
they were doing so temporarily to “maintain liquidity.”
Abusing that exemption in order to facilitate naked short selling
in cahoots with hedge funds looking to drive down stock prices was
blatantly illegal, but the SEC looked the other way, even as market
makers failed to deliver shares for weeks, months, and even years
at a time. If anyone raised a fuss, the hedge funds would say that
the phantom shares didn’t originate with them, the SEC would
say that stock manipulation is hard to prove, and the market makers
would say that they weren’t breaking any rules.
After all, they had a “Madoff Exemption.”
* * * * * * * *
At any rate, in March 2007, with Dendreon seemingly on the fast
track to FDA approval, most traders were rushing to buy the
company’s shares. A specific set of hedge funds, however,
purchased large numbers of put options in Dendreon. Without a
subpoena, we cannot say for sure whether the put options they
bought were married to naked short sales, but simply from their put
activity it is clear that these hedge funds were placing quite
large bets against Dendreon, and they maintained these positions
even after the FDA advisory panel voted in favor of Provenge on
March 29.
To understand how completely anomalous these bets were, consider
that in the entire universe of 11,500 hedge funds, only ten held
large numbers (more than 150,000) of put options in Dendreon at the
end of March 2007. Two of those ten funds held relatively few
(200,000 each) put options in Dendreon and cashed out soon after
the FDA advisory panel meeting. They do not appear to have
otherwise been major traders in Dendreon, so I will not mention
their names.
One of those ten hedge funds is Apollo Medical Fund Management,
which is managed by a man named Brandon Fradd. Fradd was once
accused of burning
documents relevant to a civil court case. Fradd was also once
the limited
partner of a criminal named Reed Slatkin, who was indicted for
orchestrating the third largest Ponzi scheme in history. But
Slatkin seems to have had minimal involvement in Apollo’s
trading, and I have yet to uncover any evidence proving that Apollo
is tied to naked short sellers or others in the network that this
story intends to document. So let us give Fradd the benefit of the
doubt.
Let us focus instead on the remaining seven of the ten hedge
funds that held large numbers of put options immediately after the
FDA’s advisory panel handed Dendreon its fantastic news,
which was right at the time that Dendreon was bombarded by illegal
naked short selling (phantom stock), and just before Dendreon was
to experience some strange occurrences.
The managers of these seven hedge funds all know each other
well. They have all worked with Michael Milken or Milken’s
close associates. They include the following:
- a fraudster and naked short seller who is believed to have
stolen billions of dollars with help from Russian and Italian
organized crime;
- a trader working for a man who once managed, along with his
father-in-law, the dirtiest, Mafia-linked brokerage on Wall
Street.
- a trader who co-founded his fund with a man who was jailed for
plotting to murder Michael Milken’s famous co-conspirator,
Ivan Boesky;
- a man who became the “most powerful trader on the
Street” after working for one of the most notorious,
Mafia-linked brokerages on the Street;
- an accused naked short seller who was at the center of the
greatest scandal in SEC history, and is now under criminal
investigation;
- a fellow who once owned a fund that was charged in a massive
naked short selling fraud and was later mixed up in a
Mafia-connected, criminal naked short seller’s scheme to
bribe agents of the FBI; and
- a Russian “whiz kid” who was the top trader for a
man who once worked at a notorious Mafia-linked brokerage—the
same brokerage that once employed the criminal naked short seller
who bribed those agents of the FBI.
Again, judging from SEC disclosures of put option holdings,
these seven colorful traders (plus Fradd, whom I have yet to tie to
this network) were the only hedge fund managers on the planet who
were placing serious bets against Dendreon after the FDA’s
advisory panel voted in support of Provenge.
So let’s get to know more about these seven colorful
traders–and then let’s try to surmise whether they knew
about the strange events that were about to occur in the Spring of
2007, and whether those strange occurrences had anything to do with
a “prominent philanthropist” named Michael Milken.
* * * * * * * *
This is part 2 of a 15-part series.
The remaining installments will appear on Deep Capture over the
next several weeks, after which point the story will be published
in its entirety at DeepCapture.com. It is a
story about the travails of just one small company, but it
describes market machinations that have affected hundreds of other
companies, and it contains a larger message for anyone concerned
about the “deep capture” of our nation’s media
and regulatory bodies.
Mark Mitchell is a
reporter for DeepCapture.com. He
previously worked as an editorial page writer for The Wall Street
Journal in Europe, a business correspondent for Time magazine
in Asia, and as an assistant managing editor responsible for the
Columbia Journalism Review’s online critique of business
journalism. He holds an MBA from the Kellogg Graduate School of
Management at Northwestern University. Email:
mitch0033@gmail.com