OT about OT
OT - Where has everyone gone? Into bomb shelters waiting for the
inevitable? Mikey (the Market) likes it fine, so far. So good? I'm
left wondering when somebody important stops treating Trump like
North Korea - the crazy threats and wild swings not worth paying
attention to. Some time ago, Jester wondered if the pissed off
white people were willing to ruin this country just for 'revenge'?
Apparently. A lot of our allies seem to be taking it seriously -
Latvia, Lithuania, etc. making preparation to be invaded under the
rubric of protecting 'Russian nationals.' Are we really going to
unravel all the alliances (e.g., NATO) that has kept the West safe
and the villians at bay? It wasn't that long ago that Russia felt
'surrounded' and on the ropes because of all of the countries that
were piling into NATO. Is it the fall of the West, like Lord of the
Rings - except Sauron wins this one? Just how fast could our
supremacy and democratic ideals be unraveled? (China might be the
biggest winner, eventually.) Obscured perhaps, by things like
appointing a bigot to Attorney General, or lifting all moral
oversight of politicians, or the destruction of universal
affordable health care, without any real plan in replacement (let
them die, and be quick about it?) Or am I just being
hysterical?
Hilary does get a good deal of blame. For somebody who I truly
believe is 'whip-smart' intellectually, she must be tone-deaf in
emotional intelligence. If you call a large segment of Trump's
supporters "deplorables", how many of those people are going to
vote for you? Duh. Don't need them anyway. Duh. She'll be
fine. $28 mil./year. And if she needs work, there'll always be a
directorship at Goldman Sachs waiting. End of
pontificating.
Personally, I sold almost all of my INFN in a tax-loss selling
move. It has since gained .40 cents. Not such a great call,
perhaps. But NOK, also, seems to be on an upward slope lately - but
what has not?.
Just chime in here anytime, compadres. Let's not let this
community fail, after all these years. (BTW, Jester - I see TTWO
near 50, and ATVI in mid-upper $30's. I think you warned that ATVI
was going to have a rough time this year competing with EA, so
although it looked like a bargain below $40, that might no longer
be true.)
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The internet is flaky in the bomb shelter. ;)
I am here, check in daily. I mostly PM you with my thoughts,
probably should post more. Willl try to do so.
I also did some tax loss selling of INFN and NOK. Basically
enough to cover gains for the year. With regards to INFN I chose
share lots and did not sell the magical 500 shares I still have
from 2014. I am actually down on paper on these shares now, but
have written options on them upwards of a dozen or more times, so
ahead overall. Now about those other shares....
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Author:
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breinejm
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/05/17 at 6:57 AM CST
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Jon,
Your street cred on options is uncanny. I really ought to think
more about doing that. When you are 80 years old and demented,
you'll probably still have those 500 'magic' shares in your
account, having optioned them out 500 times. Years ago, when Jester
generously schooled me in options, I recall doing 39 options trades
for the year, which provided the bulk of my profits. (Those were
the days when the ATVI buyout was a punch no one saw coming. Jester
caught the 'daily range' between highs and lows almost every day,
usable until the deal was closed and shares called away, and we
both participated to around $1k profits on some days. I remember
calling it a 'mini'game' to do so, and you said you had been doing
the exact same thing. Those were the days. And it was a long time
ago - maybe 10 years. We've all known each other for a long time,
and profited by pooling ideas.) I see some non-posting visitors
visit from time to time. I'm puzzled, and a bit unhappy, that more
folks didn't follow us to this board. But I feel like it's still
very good company. So yes, post your thoughts as non-pm's. And
Jester is really the only 'eyes' we have to follow with the vg
stocks, and that's welcome news. And your (Jester) call on CME
seems very gutsy to me - one more case of food poisining, and they
were toast, I thought. Your belief apparently is paying off really
well.
The market so apparently likes the (believed) deregulation of
just about any business dealings. It would obviously help Trump's
businesses. I can find journalists saying the conflict of interest
between power and money that Trump hung Hilary with is so apparent
in his mixing business with governing conflict of interest. But
I've seen no real condemnation of such acts. It's not funny the Roy
Cohen, (Cohn?), a lawyer buddy of McCarthy's communist 'witch hunt'
was a tutor to Trump when he was younger.
What I don't know is this: When an international crisis erupts,
and Trump handles it with all the aplomb of Kim Il Jong, how much
does the market drop in a day? Any guesses?
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/05/17 at 1:18 PM CST
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Jamok, I agree it's a shame more people didn't follow from
Arena, however thanks to Rod we have this good home. It's also a
shame that some who were aware of this, chose not to contribute.
I'm sticking around though!
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Author:
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Jester
Debunker
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/06/17 at 8:40 AM CST
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Jester,
Me too! I'm not going anywhere. And although Rod and I engaged
in 'fraternal warfare' years ago, I have to give him kudos
for the site - very well produced.
Lt cap, I'm assuming your numbers relate to NOK buyback, yes? I
had forgotten that program was ongoing thru Dec. 30th - and might
account for the steady rise - altho other names in the sector seem
to be doing alright.
I optioned out all my CIEN position, because I knew that ITM
(which it was) would give me a small but tidy profit. Might think
about again taking a position at some point.
But I've been watching CSCO, and had been kicking myself for not
buying it earlier this year, when it was in the low 20's. It seems
to have carved a 'niche' aroung $30 or so, and the dividend is a
handsome 3.X . I don't know a whole lot about their business
prospects, although one of their forays is into the cyber security
space. I'm still thinking about taking a position.
What has me *really* kicking myself is when I saw NVDA at around
$22, just a bit over a year ago, I thought their prospects looked
good and I've owned them on and off for the last 15 years. Then I
saw them at $44, figuring I'd missed the boat. Then at $60. Then, a
totally blowout quarter, and currently trading at $104. I've been
in it before when it tripled in a short period of time. And VR/new
apps and business looks like a really good sector to me, so I can't
say it's had its run. Intel has announced some big buck $ for VR,
and someone has to supply the graphics power, and I think the trend
for the sector has to be growth. Their last jump to a 14nm process
has been phenomenal - new cards the blow away previous graphics
cards at a lower price. The largest question I have is AMD's
soon-to-be-expanded products (story on CES said AMD claims to have
added 200 improvements or features to their upcoming card
architecture), is whether they can finally be competitive with NVDA
for market share. They've promised a number of times to do this in
the past, but have never achieved it. I think they fail again this
time, but I need to know more about their newest cards when they're
released.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/06/17 at 1:14 PM CST
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Jamok, yes the numbers I posted were for NOK.
NOK has risen some 21.78% since it touched an intraday low of
4.04 after that Investors Conference in Europe on Nov 15th, IIRC.
I truly hope that on Feb 2nd when NOK delivers its Q4
results, Rajeev Suri has decent news for us beaten down NOK
investors.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/06/17 at 5:47 PM CST
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Could not agree more. It would be nice to have them visit
and contribute to this forum. But as you say, I too will be
sticking around. I appreciate and welcome all of your
input/opinions.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/06/17 at 5:45 PM CST
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A few folks are lurking. I see their names pop up on the TTWO
message page in the recent visits list. A few others never knew we
ended up here. There was no means to contact them. And yes, I am
here to stay too!
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Author:
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breinejm
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/07/17 at 11:18 AM CST
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Happy New Year to all of you.
Still around, still holding all of the NOK. I sold INFN,
and decided to roll that money into adding to the NOK position.
NOK has bought some 54M+ (shy of 1% of total shares) shares for
a total of E230M+ (a bit less than one quarter of the E1B program).
NOK stopped buying last Friday December 30th.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/06/17 at 7:15 AM CST
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