Chipotle, CMG
I had mentioned CMG in early November, when it started its rise
from $370 to $415, then in December it gave back the gains towards
year end. It has held this price range for a while where it only
needs to fall 8% to 2013 lows, or rise nearly 100% to 2015 highs.
With tax loss selling season over, I believe the bulk of the
selling which could have happened, has done so. Any talk of
improvements in customer traffic and SSS will likely result in a
sustained rally. It is often the case that the dogs of one year are
the stars of the next. Other catalysts include Ackman's involvement
and greater focus from management on customers. Today, Wedbush
upgraded it too.
Last Friday I sold 1 weekly $382.5 put for $7.2 expiring
tomorrow, and I'll continue selling at the money or slightly in the
money puts while it's under $400.
Chipotle was raised to Neutral from Underperform and
the price target was raised to $400 from $370 (versus a $381.86
prior close) at Wedbush. The firm believes that Chipotle's
expectations are now at a trough.
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