I think given the volatility and the spotlight that biotech has
received, this is a good company to place a small amount of our
hard-earned money for a speculative
investment.
Ariad Pharmaceuticals is known for its lead compound called
Ridaforolimus. It's a small-molecule compound for treating
cancer, which makes it very compatible and attractive to
pharmaceutical business model. As it stands today, ARIAD is
collaborating with Merck & Co., Inc. to globally develop and
commercialize ridaforolimus. It's not an outright licensing,
but a co-development, co-commercialization agreement: so a lot of
the revenue upside is retained within the company. Details
can be found at ariad.com/wt...ration
Although this is a very primitive way of analyzing the
feasibility of the science behind the drug, it is an easy way for
non-industry investors: Merck has partnered on the drug.
Merck has previous experience with cancer drugs through its
blockbuster Gardasil for cervical cancer, Emend for chemo side
effect treatment, and Quadramet for bone
cancer. Quadramet received approval in 1997 so it is
either about to, or already fell off patent. Rida is in phase
3 for soft tissue and bone sarcoma, so we can certainly expect
Merck's commitment to getting the drug to market to recycle its
existing sales and marketing force, patient advocacy group,
etc.. Additionally, Rida is also being explored in metastatic
breast cancer; it's currently in phase 2 with positive preliminary
data.
The interim results from Phase 3 trial in soft tissue
and bone sarcoma should arrive sometime next month, so
there is a rally potential for short-term investors.
The company does have more substance than Rida - Merck slogan:
"second oncology product candidate, AP24534, is an internally
discovered novel oral multi-targeted kinase inhibitor that we
believe has broad potential applications in cancer. AP24534 is
currently being evaluated in a Phase 1 clinical study for the
treatment of patients with hematological (blood-based) cancers."
[excerpt from Ariad website]
As an investor confidence booster, the CEO of Ariad
Pharmaceuticals, Harvey Berger and CMO (chief medical officer)
Pierre Dodion purchased $3m and $9999 worth of shares in August 4,
2009. I believe this is a bold statement from the
insiders.
They have set themselves up nicely for either 1) acquisition by
Merck, or 2) another biotech phenomenon, or 3) ultimate test of
investor patience. I think this is a complete speculative
investment that is extremely
risky, but given the stock price at $1.80,
investors can certainly limit their loss.