There is a financial reality that goes well beyond partisan
politics. It's one of those rare occasions where financial
professionals ought to pay close attention to the political
world. Half of this country call themselves conservatives,
and conservatives are spreading a message to one another - the
dollar will become worthless - a positive for PowerShares DB US
Dollar Index Bearish (UDN).
The hippies say that if you believe it, it will become
true. Sometimes, the same applies in Wall Street. If
enough people believe it, supply and demand will shift dramatically
and create a significant price movement. Republicans are
spreading the message that began last year as a whimper from Ron
Paul and his fringe libertarian buddies - gold has great value and
the dollar will lose dramatic value, they say.
Obama's win, the economic collapse and the Democrats'
supermajority have altogether empowered that libertarian side of
the Republicans, whose message is that this country's economic
policy will soon bankrupt the country. The chorus is getting
louder and sharper, and is even being accepted by liberal financial
professionals.
Conservative politics is now pushing gold like no other and
depending on a dropping dollar to prove they are right. The
political passion involves millions of Americans who may continue
to put their money where there mouth is, into gold and out of
dollars.
Today, Robert Fisk reported about countries planning to price
oil in gold rather than the dollar. The conservative Drudge
Report jumped on it and made it the headline for the day. It
won't be the last headline pushing gold and pushing down the
dollar. It doesn't matter what you or I believe, it matters
what the entire market believes, and when a very large group of
people organize to promote one particular financial idea, it's
useful to listen.
If conservatives continue to spread distrust for the dollar and
more trust in gold, it will be a good time to buy GOLD and UDN
(PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish).