“Telling the truth is only
possible by accident through a special sort of
boastfulness…”
- Fyodor Dostoevsky, “The
Idiot”
Regular readers of Deep
Capture are aware that we have sought to expose certain
journalists who seem to serve the interests of a network of market
miscreants, many of whom are tied to the famous criminal Michael
Milken or his close associates.
One of these journalists is Roddy Boyd, who worked at the News
Corporation's New York Post before moving to Time Warner Inc's
Fortune magazine. It has come to our attention that Roddy has left
Fortune. The magazine did not return a phone call seeking comments
on the circumstances behind his departure, but whatever those
circumstances might be, it seems fit to honor his departure by
publishing an excerpt from a book called “House of
Cards.”
In this book, which is written by a Wall Street insider named
William Cohan, Roddy is quoted at length, and one particular
passage stands out for being quintessentially Roddy. While you are
reading the passage, keep in mind that I spent a number of hours
talking to Roddy some years ago, and can report that he has a
manner of speaking that is similar to what Dostoevsky called
“a special sort of boastfulness” –which is to say
that Roddy likes to stroke his own back, and in so doing, he often
rambles in such a way as to unintentionally admit to his own
buffoonery, or to some form of miscreancy on the part of his
favorite Wall Street sources.
In this passage, Roddy tells the story of certain communications
he had with Tom Marano, Bear Stearns’s top mortgage trader,
on March 6, 2008 – a few days before false rumors
began swirling about Bear Stearns’s access to credit. The
following week, the false rumors were rampant, and those rumors,
along with naked short selling, quickly brought Bear to its
knees.
A couple of weeks after the collapse of Bear Stearns, Marano
found a new job – with Cerberus Capital Management. As I have
detailed elsewhere, Cerberus is run by Steve Feinberg, who was once
one of Michael Milken’s top traders at Drexel Burnham. After
working for Milken, Feinberg moved to Gruntal & Co., a
criminal-infested brokerage, where he worked closely with Steve
Cohen, who was once investigated by the SEC for trading on inside
information fed to him by Michael Milken’s staff at
Drexel. Cohen now runs SAC Capital, believed to be one of the
biggest short sellers of Bear Stearns’s stock.
I am not yet going to state what I think is important about the
passage quoted below. But I have other reasons to believe that the
facts that Roddy drops in the course of his braggadocio are key to
understanding what happened to Bear Stearns. Read the passage
yourself, focusing on the facts, not on Roddy’s version of
the facts. Consider that Roddy’s conversation with Marano
took place on March 6, when there were not yet any rumors in the
market, and Bear’s stock was trading above $60. Then, let me
know if you spot what’s important.
Here’s the passage:
“…at eleven in the morning on March 6 Marano
placed a phone call to Roddy Boyd, then a writer at Fortune. Marano
had been a source of Boyd’s for years, when the journalist
was covering Wall Street at the New York Post, and had freely
offered commentary about his competitors and the markets generally.
Boyd had been a trader for eight years before switching careers to
journalism, and the two men spoke the same language. ‘I know
the mortgage product dead cold,’ Boyd said. Their
relationship was a well-defined pas de deux. ‘It was
unusually well defined,’ [Boyd] explained. ‘We knew
exactly what we were saying. I could have a very long conversation
in two minutes. I protected him always. I never BS’d with
him. I never got him in hot water. The corollary was he never
BS’d with me, and he would give me good stuff.’
“This time, Marano called Boyd to talk about Bear
Stearns, and specifically about his concern that the firms he had
traded with for years were suddenly asking him whether Bear had
enough cash on hand to execute his trades. ‘He called me at
11:00 A.M. that day and we talked about one or two things,’
Boyd continued. ‘It was weird. He knew it was weird. We did
small talk in under ten seconds. I said to him, ‘What’s
up?’ He said, ‘What are you hearing about Bear?’
I said, ‘You know what I’m hearing and you know what
I’m seeing. He said, ‘I know what you’re hearing
and you’re seeing. It’s just baffling.’ Now here
I’m playing him a little because I’m hearing things and
I’m seeing some things, but he’s not saying much more
than I am, so I let him walk and talk. He said to me, ‘Roddy,
our guys, our senior guys here, are hearing a really strange thing
from custies.’ That’s customers. He said, ‘We
were not prepared to hear stuff like this. This is baffling. People
are quite literally questioning our solvency, questioning our
ability to go on. The shorts are having a lot of fun with us
today.’…
“‘He’s thinking two things,’ Boyd
continued. ‘One, he’s got to stop this whole line of
inquiry right here, right now, because if you have to ask the
question, oh my God. Second, he’s thinking about the
trajectory of rumor and supposition, and that thesis of smoke
versus fire….With a question of their ability to act as a
counterparty on the table, that’s unimaginable. I mean, this
is Bear Stearns….Now they’re being questioned from the
standpoint of fundamental liquidity. He [Marano] said that he
believed that these short sellers had been speculating in the
credit default swap market and telling counterparties at other
firms that they had concerns about Bear Stearns’s liquidity
and solvency, and that was driving the cost of spreads wider. What
that was doing was making their overnight funding more expensive.
That was cutting into their profit margin, and in turn was also
starting a sort of cottage industry of rumors about Bear
Stearns.’
Roddy continued: “‘There’s no need to
explain anything between us,’ he [Marano] said. I said,
‘Are you sure you’re seeing this?’ He said,
‘Look at [the credit default] swaps.’ So I looked them
up and then I see the hockey sticks’ – a sharp
spike up in their cost… ‘He said, ‘It’s
unbelievable. It all bullshit.’ At that
point—he’s very much a corporate guy—but he had
left me [with a clear message]. I’m not stupid. Hedge funds
and prime brokerage accounts are unusually skittish about questions
of financial health, financial solvency, and he said,
‘I’m hearing there’s questions about our
financial health.’ At that point, Marano is telling me he
knew he was done, because once that question of credibility goes
out there, and serious people say it to you enough, you’re
done. It’s all that there is to it. It’s all that there
is to it. Where do you go to get your reputation back.’
…
“Boyd worked hard [the following night] and over the
weekend trying to figure out which bank—said to be
European—had decided it would no longer be a counterparty to
Bear Stearns in the overnight financing markets. Obviously, this
would be a huge negative development for the firm…‘At
that point, I’m pulling my fucking hair out—pardon my
language—calling everybody,’ [Boyd] said.
‘I’m calling Deutsche Bank, I’m calling UBS, and
I’m very aggressive. Get your senior guys on the phone. Get
your financing desk on the phone. I don’t want to talk to
some stupid flack. I spent eight years on a desk. I’m smarter
than all those flacks. They’re all Kool-Aid drinkers. They
don’t honestly know a derivative from a bond from a stock.
None of them are going to be able to ask their financing desk. They
don’t even know enough to call the repo guys on the financing
desk. I told them, Get your financing guys or get your credit guys
on the phone with me, or you’re going in Fortune.
Here’s the New York Post coming out of me. I said,
There’s two ways this is going to work: bad or good. This
hand is good; this hand is bad. I shake your hand or I punch you.
Let me know…I’m talking to the guys in New York, and
they’re saying, We swear to Christ we are not the ones to
have done that [cut financing]. If Deutsche Bank had done it,
I’m thinking, ‘Okay, that’s the story right
there.’ The minute a repo line gets pulled, you die, okay?
They die a terrible death.’…
Roddy continued that, after the March 6 call with Marano,
‘“I was thinking, I’m going to poke around in
this more…but then I was thinking, This is strange. This is
like a situation where you can abuse your position as a reporter.
When you’re at Fortune, you have to do stuff right. When
you’re at the New York Post, you have to be there first and
fastest. At Fortune, you write the first draft of history, and you
have to get it right and you have to be consistently right.
I’m thinking, I don’t really want to screw with this
company – I don’t want to spread rumors. I don’t
want to become part of the story. I don’t want to hurt people
unnecessarily. I’m an aggressive guy and I’ll pick
fights with anyone or anything, but there’s a right way of
doing my job and there’s a wrong way. I weighed my duty as an
employee here versus the right thing to do.”
Do you see what happened here? Feel free to post your opinion in
the comments section here or at Deep Capture. Or contact me
privately by email at mitch0033@gmail.com.