Chiquita Brands International
Inc Analysts May Be Underestimating The Falling Dollar
It’s easy to overlook the fact that over 60% of Chiquita
Brands banana segment revenue comes from Europe.
As a result, Chiquita is quietly benefiting from a strong
Euro. The upside may actually be as much as $1
per share as the euro now trades at around $1.50, higher than what
analysts are conservatively assuming in
guidance. Chiquita management has stated in
previous conference calls that they are exposed to euro
appreciation despite some hedging.
Analysts currently expect very little growth for 2010 despite
three quarters of significant earnings beats by
Chiquita. Current estimates are for $2.51 in
2010, but with euro appreciation trends, eps could easily become
something like $3.51. Despite that, the company
trades at only 7x current 2010 analyst expectations and perhaps as
low as 5x accounting for a consistently strong
euro. Those looking to bet against the dollar
might as well look into healthy U.S. companies with significant
euro exposure. The company has significant debt,
but with this kind of cash flow, they are sure to quickly work down
debt and interest payments in order to increase
profits.
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