By now, everybody knows that the market for collateralized debt
obligations was riddled with fraud in the lead-up to the financial
crisis. What is less known is the fact that hedge fund managers
helped create and inflate the market for these toxic securities
specifically so that they could bet against them and profit from
the inevitable collapse.
An example of a particularly sordid scheme, orchestrated by
hedge fund billionaire and current investor of Bank of America
(NYSE:BAC) John Paulson, was discovered some time ago by David
Fiderer, a blogger for the Huffington Post. The information in
Fiderer’s blog is rather incriminating, and, of course,
the mainstream media is not on the case, so I think it bears
repeating.
In a close reading of Wall Street Journal Gregory
Zuckerman’s book, “The Greatest Trade Ever”, an
otherwise starry-eyed account of Paulson’s bets against the
mortgage market, Fiderer discovered this nugget:
“Paulson and [partner Paolo
Pellegrini] were eager to find ways to expand their wager against
risky mortgages. Accumulating it in the market sometimes proved to
be a slow process. So they made appointments with bankers at Bear
Stearns, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, and other banks to ask if
they would create CDOs that Paulson & Co. could essentially bet
against.”
As Fiderer explains, Paulson asked the banks to create those
CDOs “so that they could be sold to some suckers at close to
par. That way, Paulson’s hedge fund could approach some other
sucker who would sell an insurance policy, or credit default swap,
on the newly minted CDOs. Bear, Deutsche and Goldman knew perfectly
well what Paulson’s motivation was. He made no secret of his
belief that the CDOs subordinate claims on the mortgage collateral
were close to worthless. By the time others have figured out the
fatal flaws in these securities which had been ignored by the
rating agencies, Paulson could collect up to $5 billion.
“Paulson not only initiated these transactions, he also
specified the terms he wanted, identifying which mortgages would be
stuffed into the CDOs, and how the CDOs should be structured.
Within the overall framework set by Paulson’s team, banks and
investors were allowed to do some minor tweaking.”
It is not clear which banks ultimately participated in
Paulson’s scam, but Fiderer quotes Bear Stearns trader Scott
Eichel as saying that his bank refused. “It didn’t pass
the ethics standards;” Eichel said, “it was a
reputation issue and it didn’t pass our moral compass. We
didn’t think we could sell deals that someone was shorting on
the other side.” Bear Stearns’ moral compass was
usually pointed towards the darker regions, but perhaps this is why
Paulson subsequently became one of the more eager short sellers of
Bear Stearns’ stock.
Fiderer continues: “Prior to 2006, there were not many
opportunities for naked short selling on subprime securitizations.
But in January of that year, investment banks launched a new
product, which enabled Paulson to place those bets on a large
scale. The ABX index, a sort of Dow Jones Average of subprime
mortgage securities, facilitated benchmarking the price of credit
default swaps.”
In fact, it was a black box company called the Markit Group that
created the ABX index. The banks were minor shareholders in Markit
Group and provided data. I have noted in a
previous blog that the Markit Group is a dubious outfit to say
the least, and there is good reason to suspect that the direction
of the ABX index was influenced by hedge fund managers and their
allies at the big banks. I do not have evidence that Paulson was
one of those hedge funds, but authorities ought to be asking
questions.
Fiderer goes on to suggest that bad loans to homeowners were a
significant cause of the financial crisis. On this front, I
disagree with him. Certainly, some mortgage lenders were
unscrupulous, and there was a certain amount of predatory lending,
but the conventional wisdom that this is what crashed the economy
is simply false.
At the time that the mortgage securities markets began to go
south in 2007, defaults on subprime loans had increased only
slightly month-to-month, and were in fact considerably lower than
in earlier years. In the second quarter of 2007, for example, only
7.7 percent of subprime loans were 30 days past due, slightly up
from 6.76 percent in the second quarter of 2006, but considerably
lower than the 9.9 percent in the second quarter of 2001.
The problem lied not in the loans themselves, but in the fact
that the loans had been packaged (apparently, to a large extent, at
the behest of John Paulson and perhaps other bearish billionaires)
into fraudulent securities that were traded and probably
manipulated by a select number of hedge funds and large banks. In a
somewhat similar scheme, hedge funds often pump up the stock of
public companies before initiating short selling attacks aimed at
demolishing those same companies.
The economy was brought to its knees by a few powerful and
eminently dirty players on Wall Street, not by poor people who had
the temerity to buy themselves houses.
____________________
Mark
Mitchell is a reporter for DeepCapture.com .
He previously worked as an editorial page writer for The Wall
Street Journal in Europe, a business correspondent for Time
magazine in Asia, and as an assistant managing editor responsible
for the Columbia Journalism Review’s online critique of
business journalism. He holds an MBA from the Kellogg Graduate
School of Management at Northwestern University. Email:
mitch0033@gmail.com