Oftentimes, conference call
analyst participants tend to hold back on asking more obvious
straightforward in-your-face type questions.
They instead avoid them for fear of breaking
decorum and dive into minute details. But it
doesn’t happen that way all the time, and perhaps Wall Street
needs more female analysts who will cut through the
nonsense.
Case
in point, a small up-and-coming technology company with a specific
focus on mobile communications software, Smith Micro Software, Inc
[NASDAQ:SMSI].
Lauren Ye, a sell-side
analyst at JP Morgan, couldn’t help herself but to ask a
simple obvious question on why the company did not raise full year
revenue guidance even though they beat all analyst earnings and
revenue expectations for the quarter:
My next [question] is just around guidance. So,
Q1 you exceeded, it sounds like your internal expectations. I know
you are reiterating guidance. I just want to make sure is this a
function of you just trying to stick to the plan and you wanted to
give new guidance at the midpoint of the year, or is there some
business-oriented change that might have required you to move some
revenue forward, I guess?
Bill
Smith, the co-founder and CEO whose name the company retains,
responded by suggesting that their guidance wasn’t all that
dependable:
[T]he key point is that
we said we would review it at the midpoint of the year. We tend to
be a little conservative at times and don't want to get in front of
the market. Obviously we're pretty excited about getting off to
such a strong start, and we'll see where we are at the end of Q2,
and we'll speak to that question then.
She continues to
persist:
But there isn't anything business-wise where you
are a little softer in the back half?
Bill
Smith:
No,
no. …kind of your questions are, do we
expect anything bad given we had such a good Q1? The answer is no.
But in the same regard, we want to keep people
grounded.
Later, he summarizes his remarks
to her:
We are very confident with the guidance we
provided at the start of the year. We have reiterated it a number
of times. We'll review it at the mid-year, and we'll take it from
there.
Her simple question managed to
retrieve for herself and investors some crucial information: that
the company had not even reviewed guidance despite reiterating
it. That information managed to convince myself
(and I would expect many others) that the company’s value is
worth more than how I would have valued it given the available
information in the company’s press
release. In asking a bold question and receiving
a blunt answer from management, conference call listeners have
wasted no time in listening in. They learn that
the company is behaving in a conservative manner when it comes to
guidance and seems to intend on beating the guidance that they
reiterated in the next quarter, when it is formally
reviewed.
As an investor who is often
critical of company managements and their analysts, Lauren Ye of JP
Morgan and Bill Smith, CEO of Smith Micro, earn my respect today
for this frank exchange.
Disclosure: author holds shares of Smith Micro
Software, Inc.