A quick comparison to search giant Yahoo and smaller advertising
company ValueClick Inc. suggests the tiny internet search company
Local.com Corp. is undervalued.
Yahoo! has as of late failed to impress investors and yet the
stock price minus cash and investments – $8.37 - divided by
earnings expectations for this year of .69 gives it a multiple of
just above 12 times. This is for a company that
analysts predict will have 7% year over year growth in
2011. ValueClick has a similar enterprise value
of about $8.84 a share with analysts only predicting .59 earnings
this year. That’s an enterprise multiple
of 15 times for a company that analysts predict will have 8%
growth.
Local.com appears to be flying under the radar with price minus
cash of $6.75 as of close of business today (and that’s after
rising a bit in the past week) and analysts predicting .72 (that
number should go up to something around .75 after increased numbers
were announced). That yields a multiple of 9 or
just above 9. That’s with analysts
predicting 17% growth the following year. In
addition, management yesterday emphasized that current 15% margins
should improve in 2011. Current 2011 analyst
estimates assume a lower 14% margin. If that
were to be more like 17%, for example, that would yield $1
earnings. At Yahoo’s multiple, that would
get $12.70 (plus the extra positive cash flow).
At ValueClick’s multiple, it’s $15.70, or more than
double from current prices.
The bottom line is that Local.com appears to be significantly
undervalued given its earnings and growth.
Analysts appear to agree with price targets averaging at
$12.50. But investors are nowhere in sight as it
sits in the mid 7s. Look for the street to
eventually come to its senses.
Disclosure: The author
recently bought shares of Local.com