A quick comparison to search giant Yahoo! Inc. [NASDAQ:YHOO] and
smaller advertising company ValueClick Inc. [NASDAQ:VCLK] suggests
the tiny internet search and advertising company Local.com Corp.
[NASDAQ:LOCM] is undervalued.
Yahoo! has as of late failed to impress investors and yet the
stock price minus cash and investments – $8.37 - divided by
earnings expectations for this year of .69 gives it a multiple of
just above 12 times. This is for a company that analysts
predict will have 7% year over year growth in 2011.
ValueClick has a similar enterprise value of about $8.84 a share
with analysts only predicting .59 earnings this year.
That’s an enterprise multiple of 15 times for a company that
analysts predict will have 8% growth.
Local.com appears to be flying under the radar with price minus
cash of $6.75 as of close of business today (and that’s after
rising a bit in the past week) and analysts predicting .72 (that
number should go up to something around .75 after increased numbers
were announced). That yields a multiple of 9 or just above
9. That’s with analysts predicting 17% growth the
following year. In addition, management yesterday emphasized
that current 15% margins should improve in 2011. Current 2011
analyst estimates assume a lower 14% margin. If margins were
to be more like 17%, for example, that would yield $1 earnings
based on revenue estimates in 2011. At Yahoo’s
multiple, that would get $12.70 (plus the extra positive cash
flow). At ValueClick’s multiple, it’s $15.70, or
more than double from current prices. Those are 70% and 110%
higher prices than the stock's current closing price.
The bottom line is that Local.com appears to be significantly
undervalued…